Gert Kamstrup

Independent Consultant

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Yesterday, #Whitty and #Wallance claimed that UK has high #Covid mortality rate due to new variant – but current UK #mortality rate is similar to average for #European countries – there is not a specific #UK issue #CovidUK

Posted on January 23, 2021     Leave a Comment

All values are based on 7-day moving average. Positive cases have been lagged by 21 days to provide a better fit.

#Whitty & #Wallance talked about #Covid mortality of 1% – 1.3% for over 60 year olds – but the actual rate has been more like 3.2% since December – why do they not just show the real numbers? What’s there to hide? #Lockdown #CovidUK #NHS #Covid19 #BorisJohnson #COVID-19 #Lockdown3

Posted on January 23, 2021     Leave a Comment

7-day moving average of UK #Covid deaths was 1,072 yesterday and is projected to increase further next two weeks, with another 25,000 deaths likely by end of January (3.3% of positive cases leading to death after 21 days) #CovidUK #forecast #Lockdown3 #Covid-19

Posted on January 15, 2021     Leave a Comment

Mortality rate remains stable at 3.3% of those tested positive (after 21 days). This is still much higher than during Autumn – #lockdown #CovidUK #Lockdown #NHS #Covid19 #BorisJohnson #Tory #Tories #COVID-19 #Lockdown3 #NationalLockdown #Covid19UK

Posted on January 15, 2021     Leave a Comment

7-day moving average of UK #Covid deaths was 915 yesterday and is projected to double over next three weeks, with total projected deaths over 30,000 (based on 3.3% of positive cases leading to death after 21 days) #CovidUK #forecast #Lockdown3 #Covid-19

Posted on January 11, 2021     Leave a Comment

08/01- Recent #NHSEngland data shows that a 50,000 increase in positive #Covid cases results in an immediate demand for 750 hospital beds, with 90 being mechanical ventilator beds – Covid crisis is getting worse for #NHS – #LockDown #CovidUK #Covid-19

Posted on January 9, 2021     Leave a Comment

Mortality rate remains stable at 3.3% of those tested positive (after 21 days). This is still much higher than during Autumn – #lockdown #CovidUK #Lockdown #NHS #Covid19 #BorisJohnson #Tory #Tories #COVID-19 #Lockdown3 #NationalLockdown #Covid19UK

Posted on January 9, 2021     Leave a Comment

UK #Covid deaths hit 1,325 today and forecast shows that weekly average will double over next 3 weeks. Total projected deaths for rest of January is 25-30,000 (based on 3.1% of positive cases leading to death after 21 days. #CovidUK #forecast #Lockdown3

Posted on January 8, 2021     Leave a Comment

[07/01]: Data shows a 3.1% mortality rate of those tested positive (after 21 days). This is still much higher than during Autumn – #lockdown #CovidUK #Lockdown #NHS #Covid19 #BorisJohnson #Tory #Tories #COVID-19 #Lockdown3 #NationalLockdown #Covid19UK

Posted on January 7, 2021     Leave a Comment

UK #Covid deaths hit 1,162 today and forecast shows that weekly average will double over next 3 weeks. Total projected deaths for rest of January is 25-30,000 (based on 3.1% of positive cases leading to death after 21 days. #CovidUK #forecast #Lockdown3

Posted on January 7, 2021     Leave a Comment

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