Has UK turned corner, and flatten curve when it comes to new Coronavirus cases?

Data shows that 3 of last 4 days, the count of new cases has been below the rolling 7-day average. This is first time during the crisis that is showing clear signs that growth in new cases are getting under control. This can be see in figure below.

The figure uses a standard control chart, with a 7-day moving average to track data. The approach is helpful as it illustrates how the daily data count fits within statistical control boundaries.

UK will have Europe’s worst coronavirus death toll, says study

IHME has released estimates of predicted peaks in COVID-19 deaths and hospital resource use among countries in the European Economic Area (EEA). Projections are rather grim for the UK, in particular compared to other countries. One should hesitate to rely on these projections without further analysis and understanding of the data.