10/11/20 – UK #Covid deaths – Day 27 of forecast and the actual 7-day moving average is 343 v actual of 360, so very small difference, not like #SAGE forecast – #CovidUK #Lockdown #covidfacts #Coronavirus #bbc #itv #tory #Tories

Posted on 10th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

09/11/20 – UK #Covid deaths – Day 26 of forecast and the actual 7-day moving average is 332 v actual of 341 – so model is holding up well compared to #SAGE forecast – #CovidUK #Lockdown #covidfacts #Coronavirus #bbc #itv #tory #Tories

Posted on 9th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

Analysis of #NHS England recorded #covid deaths shows that the basis for the national lockdown was deeply flawed #Covid19 #covid-19 #CovidUK #Data #SAGE #lockdown #NHSEngland #lockdown2 #lockdown2uk #analysis #tory #labour #boris

Posted on 8th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

08/11/20 – UK Covid deaths – Actual 7-day moving average is 332 v forecast of 319…after 25 days, my model still holds up much better than #SAGE forecasts #Covid #CovidUK #Data #Lockdown #covidfacts #Coronavirus #borisjohnson #marr

Posted on 8th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

07/11/20 – UK Covid deaths – Actual 7-day moving average is 323 v forecast of 308, so model still holding up – and much better than #SAGE forecasts #Covid #CovidUK #Data #lockdown

Posted on 8th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

#JoeBiden is the next president – finally 2020 brings good news #election #trump #USA #USelection #2020 #covid #brexit

Posted on 7th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

Analysis of #NHS England recorded #covid deaths shows that Government projects are significantly above actuals #Covid19 #covid-19 #CovidUK #Data #SAGE #lockdown #NHSEngland #lockdown2 #lockdown2uk #england #analysis #furlough #tory

Posted on 7th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

6/11 2020 – UK Covid deaths – Actual 7-day moving average is 321 v forecast of 305 (based on model calibrated to data to 14th October, so still very accurate, in particular compared to UK Government #Covid #CovidUK #Data #SAGE #lockdown

Posted on 6th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

Covid deaths in the UK – 5th November update – Actual 7 day moving average is 309 (forecast from 14th October was 300)…so overall, model is holding up very well #Covid #CovidUK #Data #Forecast #Statistics

Posted on 6th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

UK Covid Death Forecast

Posted on 6th Nov 2020     Leave a Comment

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/gertkamstrup_ukgovernment-lockdown-covid-activity-6729858708156768256-GJ4o

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