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UK data for “Wave 2” shows that the relationship between cases and deaths is broken as the mortality rate remains very low. There is very limited conversion of covid cases to mortality.

…It is also difficult to see how there can be a lagged effect. It raised fundamental questions of a political overreaction, leading to a worsening of the UK’s economy. It is time to relax, free up and let people get back to enjoying their freedom.

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International Air Travel as an Indicator of COVID-19 Economic Recovery… if any enterprise is likely to be a leading indicator of economic expectations, it seems that the airline industry is a good candidate

9/11 attacks provide a good reference point for international air travel, it took the aviation industry months to resume normal operations. Much the same can be expected when it comes to post-COVID-19 travel. Fear will diminish interest in travel, aviation systems will be disrupted and new health measures will need to be deployed. Indeed, if […]

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Austria is on target to be first European country to ease restrictions…statistical control charts can explain why…

Austria is planning to ease lockdown restrictions after Easter. Statistical control charts provide a simple and very practical tool for looking at data, and assessing the robustness of the claim. Data for daily new cases and deaths can be used to plot not only daily data but also calculate control lines for mean and 1, […]

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