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UK will have Europe’s worst coronavirus death toll, says study

IHME has released estimates of predicted peaks in COVID-19 deaths and hospital resource use among countries in the European Economic Area (EEA). Projections are rather grim for the UK, in particular compared to other countries. One should hesitate to rely on these projections without further analysis and understanding of the data. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/07/uk-will-be-europes-worst-hit-by-coronavirus-study-predicts

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Austria is on target to be first European country to ease restrictions…statistical control charts can explain why…

Austria is planning to ease lockdown restrictions after Easter. Statistical control charts provide a simple and very practical tool for looking at data, and assessing the robustness of the claim. Data for daily new cases and deaths can be used to plot not only daily data but also calculate control lines for mean and 1, […]

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ICNARC report on 2249 COVID-19 patients in critical care 04 April 2020

Survival rate when entering into invasive ventilation is 50%, and much lower if within first 24 hours of admission.

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UK testing target of 100,000 daily coronavirus tests by end of April is simply not realistic

UK government has committed to do 100,000 daily coronavirus by end of april. This means an average daily growth in testing of more than 8%. It is not without reason that government hasn’t detailed a plan. There is no plan. The lack of preparedness leaves the country exposed as there is simply not enough tests […]

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