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UK data for “Wave 2” shows that the relationship between cases and deaths is broken as the mortality rate remains very low. There is very limited conversion of covid cases to mortality.

…It is also difficult to see how there can be a lagged effect. It raised fundamental questions of a political overreaction, leading to a worsening of the UK’s economy. It is time to relax, free up and let people get back to enjoying their freedom.

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Effects of Novel Coronavirus (COVID‐19) on Civil Aviation: Economic Impact Analysis – Scenario based study from ICAO on possible 2020 impacts

The latest estimates indicate that the possible COVID-19 impact on scheduled international passenger traffic for the first 9 months of 2020, compared to Baseline (business as usual, originally-planned), would be: V-shaped path (a first sign of recovery in late May) –  Overall reduction ranging from 41% to 56% of seats offered by airlines –  Overall reduction […]

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International Air Travel as an Indicator of COVID-19 Economic Recovery… if any enterprise is likely to be a leading indicator of economic expectations, it seems that the airline industry is a good candidate

9/11 attacks provide a good reference point for international air travel, it took the aviation industry months to resume normal operations. Much the same can be expected when it comes to post-COVID-19 travel. Fear will diminish interest in travel, aviation systems will be disrupted and new health measures will need to be deployed. Indeed, if […]

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